Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.028446 0.033898 0.039587 0.045926 0.052754 0.059853 0.067759
2026-01-25 0.020215 0.027842 0.036340 0.046323 0.057566 0.069696 0.083643
2026-02-01 0.014787 0.023457 0.033716 0.046305 0.060972 0.077219 0.096305
2026-02-08 0.009977 0.018759 0.029874 0.044133 0.061286 0.080742 0.104025
2026-02-15 0.007031 0.015794 0.027634 0.043429 0.062936 0.085477 0.112832
2026-02-22 0.005282 0.014099 0.026733 0.044136 0.066076 0.091782 0.123300
2026-03-01 0.003959 0.012727 0.026053 0.044959 0.069226 0.097998 0.133578
2026-03-08 0.003103 0.011914 0.026022 0.046526 0.073222 0.105163 0.144917
2026-03-15 0.002250 0.010844 0.025472 0.047301 0.076149 0.110989 0.154638
2026-03-22 0.002134 0.011264 0.027166 0.051118 0.082934 0.121482 0.169881
2026-03-29 0.001234 0.009564 0.025398 0.050054 0.083392 0.124225 0.175873
2026-04-05 0.000803 0.008775 0.024980 0.050805 0.086144 0.129733 0.185132
2026-04-12 0.000403 0.007763 0.024153 0.051029 0.088330 0.134723 0.194012
2026-04-19 0.000162 0.006947 0.023570 0.051571 0.090934 0.140250 0.203581
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.006034 0.022674 0.051570 0.092764 0.144780 0.211919
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004539 0.020374 0.049275 0.091379 0.145178 0.215151
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003669 0.019146 0.048529 0.092034 0.148103 0.221426
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003270 0.018883 0.049278 0.094729 0.153611 0.230861
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002937 0.018712 0.050149 0.097578 0.159305 0.240518
2026-05-31 NaN 0.002807 0.019025 0.051807 0.101527 0.166413 0.251925
2026-06-07 NaN 0.002511 0.018849 0.052626 0.104281 0.171971 0.261408
2026-06-14 NaN 0.002897 0.020567 0.056656 0.111602 0.183445 0.278239
2026-06-21 NaN 0.002232 0.019266 0.055533 0.111573 0.185391 0.283233